We've had a solid year so far in the wide receiver prop market, and it's there I'd like us to stay as we gear up for Week 4 in the NFL. I've honed in on two pass-catchers in particular that seem primed for a solid outing.
New Orleans' passing game popped up all week for me. They're playing a Tampa Bay secondary that has allowed the third-most passes of 20+ yards, and that weakness has led to the Bucs also seeing the ninth-highest yards allowed per pass attempt mark.
That makes for a team I want to target, and Chris Olave is most definitely my preferred name here. Across three weeks, Olave is leading the Saints in targets (32), receptions (22), yards (302) and targets 20+ yards down the field (nine).
That is an ideal makeup to continue having success, as the Buccaneers have allowed a 100+ yard receiver in every game this season.
Fret not about Jameis Winston under center this week. Winston targeted Olave five times once he came in last week, and the past two games Winston started, he targeted Olave 26 times. One of those games was against this Tampa defense, a game that saw Olave finish with 80 yards.
We only need 73 on Sunday, a number Olave has breezed past each week. So far, he's finished with 112, 86 and 104. Load me up all the Olave we can get.
Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.
Similarly to Olave, George Pickens popped up because of Houston's issues slowing down explosive passing plays. They are inside the top-10 for both metrics I look at, 20+ yard passes allowed and yards allowed/pass attempt.
Pickens was one of the most explosive wide receivers last year, and he's averaging a tremendous 18.3 yards/catch this season. I considered his long reception line at 23.5, but considering he's seen 23 targets to start the season, I like that volume to translate to 60+ yards.
The Steelers deep threat has finished with 127 and 75 yards the past two games.
More must-reads:
Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:
Subscribe now!